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#South Africa

South Africa’s election could bring the biggest political shift since it became a democracy in 1994

South Africa's election

South Africans are poised to cast their votes on Wednesday in what could be their most significant political event since the dismantling of apartheid and the establishment of democracy 30 years ago.

While this national election may not carry the same historic weight as the pivotal 1994 election, where Nelson Mandela’s African National Congress (ANC) triumphed, it remains crucial. The ANC, which led South Africa to freedom, now faces mounting discontent due to persistent issues like high unemployment and poverty.

“Thirty years of South African democracy does not mean we should endure an eternity under the ANC,” remarked John Steenhuisen, leader of the main opposition Democratic Alliance party.

Although several polls suggest the ANC’s support is below 50%, indicating a potential loss of its majority for the first time, no single opposition party seems poised to overtake it. Nonetheless, if the ANC falls short of an outright majority, it would likely need to form alliances to maintain governance and reelect President Cyril Ramaphosa.

The ANC’s electoral dominance has waned over the years due to socioeconomic challenges and corruption scandals. Violent crime, inadequate government services, and, most notably, high unemployment rates, particularly among the youth, have fueled public frustration.

South Africa’s official unemployment rate stands as the world’s worst at 32%, soaring to 45% among young people aged 15 to 34. This reality starkly contrasts with the nation’s status as Africa’s most developed economy.

Ramaphosa and the ANC have pledged to address these challenges, emphasizing job creation and social support programs. Despite its electoral vulnerabilities, the ANC remains a formidable force with an effective grassroots campaign and traditional support among older and rural South Africans.

This election will shape the composition of the national Parliament and provincial legislatures, with over 50 parties competing. While South Africa remains a multiracial society, poverty disproportionately affects its Black majority, highlighting the ongoing struggle for economic equality.

As the nation heads to the polls, the disillusionment among the younger generation, who did not experience apartheid firsthand, poses a significant factor. While aware of their nation’s history, many young South Africans question the ANC’s ability to deliver on its promises made during the post-apartheid era.

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